Close-up of a diamond-set luxury watch bezel and dial, used in a guide on how to sell your luxury watch

Best Time to Sell a Luxury Watch in 2026: Market Signals

Selling Guide · Updated September 2026

Most advice on the best time to sell a luxury watch points to the holidays. The data tells a different story. Calendar seasons barely move pre-owned prices, while market direction, events around your specific model, and your own circumstances matter far more. Here is how to read all three.

By Le Watch Buyers · New York · First published December 2025 · Updated September 25, 2026 · 9 min read

+9.7%WatchCharts Overall Market Index, 12 months through August 2026
+2.5%April 2026, the index’s best month since March 2022, around Watches and Wonders
−10.7%Secondary prices in 2023, the first of two down years
Quick Answer

There is no reliably best month to sell a luxury watch. Chrono24’s own analysis describes the market as only moderately seasonal, and its price index does not show pre-owned prices falling in summer or rising in winter. What moves the value of your watch is the direction of the overall market, events tied to your specific model (a discontinuation, a new generation, a retail price increase), and your own situation. As of September 2026, secondary prices have been rising for more than a year, but they fell in both 2023 and 2024, so waiting for a better month carries real risk.

Is There a Best Month to Sell a Luxury Watch?

Not in any way the data supports. Chrono24, the largest online marketplace for luxury watches, has looked at this directly. Its July 2026 analysis tested the common belief that pre-owned prices soften in summer and found that the historical data from its ChronoPulse index does not support it. Pre-owned prices follow supply, demand, and broader economic conditions, not the consumer calendar.

What does change with the seasons is which watches people shop for. Chrono24 found that dive watches take a larger share of purchases in summer, up 6.2 percentage points compared with winter, and colored dials gain as well. Gift buying adds demand late in the year. These shifts are real, but they are modest, and they affect categories of watches more than the price of any one reference.

What this means for a seller: If you are selling outright to a buyer, the offer reflects current market comparisons for your exact watch. A calendar month on its own is unlikely to change that number in a meaningful way.

The Three Clocks: A Better Way to Time a Sale

Instead of asking which month is best, check three separate timelines. In practice, the best time to sell a luxury watch is when they point the same way. When they conflict, the personal clock usually deserves the most weight, because it is the only one you control.

1. The market clock

Is the secondary market as a whole rising, flat, or falling? Indexes from WatchCharts answer this in minutes.

2. The model clock

Is anything happening to your specific reference, such as a discontinuation, a replacement, a price increase, or a burst of media attention?

3. The personal clock

Do you need the funds, is the watch sitting unworn, and is it in the condition it will be in a year from now?

Reading the Market Clock

The WatchCharts Overall Market Index tracks 300 watches from the top 10 luxury brands, weighted by transaction value. Its September 2026 market update reports a 9.7% gain over the preceding year. It is the simplest way to see which direction the market is moving. Recent history shows why the direction matters more than the season:

Annual figures from Morgan Stanley and WatchCharts, summarized by Hodinkee. Q2 2026 from the WatchCharts July report; trailing year from its September report (through August).
PeriodSecondary price changeWhat was happening
2023−10.7%Correction after the 2021 to 2022 boom
2024−6.1%Continued decline for most brands
2025+4.9%Recovery led by Patek Philippe, Rolex, and Audemars Piguet
Q2 2026+1.5%Fourth straight quarter above 1%, with most of the gain in April
12 months to Aug. 2026+9.7%Broad-based gains across most tracked brands

The overall index fell in 2023 and 2024, then rose in 2025 and into 2026. That history shows why a calendar rule cannot tell you what your particular watch will fetch. Check both the broad market and your exact reference before deciding when to sell.

Reading the Model Clock: Events That Move a Specific Watch

Individual references can move sharply even when the overall market is flat. These are the events worth watching for your model:

EventTypical effectWhat to consider
DiscontinuationOften lifts secondary prices for the outgoing modelThe steel GMT-Master II “Pepsi” rallied ahead of its April 2026 discontinuation, then softened after the announcement as listings rose.
New generation releasedAttention shifts to the new versionThe outgoing model may soften, or it may gain if collectors prefer it. Watch the first few months of listings.
Retail price increaseRaises the baseline for in-demand modelsRolex raised US list prices on January 1, 2026, with a further increase on gold models on June 1. Models that trade below retail may not follow.
Watches and Wonders (April)Short-term surge in attention and pricingApril 2026 was the index’s best month since March 2022, but May and June gave back about 1.5 percentage points as listings increased.
Media, celebrity, or auction recordTemporary spike in demandThese spikes tend to fade. If your model is suddenly in the news, that can be a reasonable moment to get an offer.

Some models behave differently. Many precious-metal and dress references now trade below their retail prices, which we explain in Rolex models trading below retail. For a single-model example of market direction, see our Rolex Daytona resale value guide.

Seasonal Demand Patterns Worth Knowing

Seasons do not set prices, but they do shape who is shopping and for what. These patterns can help you decide when to list if you are selling privately or on a marketplace:

Fall and the holidays

Gift buying adds demand late in the year, particularly for recognizable brands and classic designs. More watches are also listed in this period, so higher demand does not automatically mean higher prices. September through early November gives you time to gather documents before the busiest weeks.

Spring

April brings Watches and Wonders in Geneva, when brands announce new models, discontinuations, and changes. Graduation season follows. Both bring more attention to the market, and the new-release news can move specific references in either direction.

Summer

Weddings, anniversaries, and milestone birthdays drive gift purchases, and buyers lean toward sportier watches. Chrono24’s data shows dive watches and colored dials gaining share in the summer months. Brands such as Omega, Rolex, and certain Patek Philippe models remain popular choices for these occasions.

Why Your Brand Matters More Than the Month

Morgan Stanley and WatchCharts track “value retention,” the gap between what a brand’s in-production watches sell for on the secondary market and their retail prices. The spread between brands is far larger than any seasonal effect:

Value retention at the end of Q2 2026 (June 29 snapshot), from Morgan Stanley and WatchCharts as reported by WatchPro. Positive means trading above retail on average for tracked in-production models.
BrandValue retentionIn practice
Patek Philippe+15.4%In-production models average above retail
Rolex+9.8%Above retail on average; steel sports models far higher, many gold models below
Audemars Piguet+3.0%Near retail on average, driven mainly by the Royal Oak
Tudor−25.7%Pre-owned typically well below retail
Cartier−27.4%Below retail, partly because of recent retail increases
Omega−32.3%Pre-owned typically well below retail

These are brand averages. Your specific reference, its condition, and whether it has box and papers will place it above or below that average.

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What Factors Influence the Value of a Luxury Watch?

Timing affects the market around your watch. These factors affect the watch itself, and they matter in every season:

  • Brand and reference. As the table above shows, brands hold value very differently, and references within a brand can differ widely.
  • Rarity. Limited production runs, discontinued models, and uncommon dial variants often command higher prices.
  • Condition and originality. Original parts, an unpolished case, and no significant damage attract stronger offers.
  • Box and papers. The original warranty card, box, and accessories support authenticity and usually raise offers, especially on modern models.
  • Service history. Documented servicing gives buyers confidence in how the watch has been maintained.

How to Be Ready When the Timing Is Right

The sellers who benefit from a favorable moment are the ones who can act on it quickly. A little preparation now means you can get an offer within a day when your model is in the news or the market turns in your favor.

  1. Identify your exact reference and year. Whether you own a Rolex or another brand, our Watch Education hub explains how to find and read reference and serial numbers.
  2. Gather the paperwork. Box, warranty card, receipts, and service records, all in one place.
  3. Take clear photos. Dial, case sides, caseback, clasp, and any papers.
  4. Check your model on WatchCharts and Chrono24. Note whether its price trend is rising, flat, or falling, and remember that Chrono24 listings are asking prices, not sale prices.
  5. Leave the case alone. Do not polish it, and do not service the watch just to sell it. Neither usually adds as much as it costs.

When Waiting Makes Sense, and When It Doesn’t

Waiting can be reasonable when there is a specific, near-term reason to expect a change, such as a confirmed discontinuation that has not yet been reflected in prices. It is also reasonable if you simply enjoy wearing the watch and have no need to sell.

Waiting is harder to justify when it is based on the calendar alone, when the watch sits in a drawer unworn, or when your model’s price trend has been flat or falling. Markets can move against you, as 2023 and 2024 showed, and nobody can reliably call a peak. Getting a current offer costs nothing and tells you where you stand, whether or not you decide to sell.

Best Time to Sell a Luxury Watch: Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best month to sell a luxury watch?

There is no reliably best month. Chrono24 describes the watch market as only moderately seasonal, and its price index does not show pre-owned prices following the calendar. Market direction, events tied to your specific model, and your own circumstances have a much larger effect on value than the time of year.

Do watch prices go up before the holidays?

Gift buying adds demand late in the year, but more watches are listed at the same time, and the data does not show a consistent holiday price increase. The holidays can be a good time to list privately because more buyers are shopping, but they do not reliably raise what a watch is worth.

Should I sell before or after Watches and Wonders?

It depends on your model. The show in April brings discontinuations and new releases that can move specific references in either direction. In 2026, the WatchCharts index had its best month since March 2022 in April, then gave back about 1.5 percentage points in May and June. If your model could be affected, it is worth getting an offer before and after the announcements.

Should I wait for my watch to go up in value before selling?

Only if you have a specific reason to expect a rise and are comfortable with the risk that it does not happen. Secondary prices fell in both 2023 and 2024 before recovering. No one can reliably predict a peak, and past performance does not guarantee future gains.

Does a Rolex price increase affect my watch’s resale value?

It can. Retail increases raise the baseline for models that are in high demand, such as steel sports references. Models that already trade below retail, including many gold and dress watches, may not follow the increase.

How can I tell if the market is rising or falling right now?

Check the WatchCharts Overall Market Index for the market as a whole, then look up your specific reference on WatchCharts and Chrono24. In its September 2026 report, WatchCharts said the overall index was up 9.7% over the preceding year (through August).

Timing Starts With Knowing Your Number

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Le Watch Buyers is an independent watch buying service and is not affiliated with any watch manufacturer. Brand names are used for identification only. Market figures come from WatchCharts, Chrono24, and Morgan Stanley’s quarterly secondary-market reports using WatchCharts data, and are current as of September 2026. This article is general market commentary, not financial or investment advice.